Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
35.06% ( 0.01)	28.58%	36.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.63% (

60.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48%

80.52% (

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

0.01)

32.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

0.01)

69.08% (

-0)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29%

31.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

-0)

68.13% (

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 35.06%

Kashiwa Reysol 36.35%

Draw 28.57%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.35%