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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Nov 14, 2020 at 5am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 1
Cerezo

Augusto (49'), Nakamura (86'), Carlinhos (90+4')
Carlinhos (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kiyotake (67')
Matsuda (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawCerezo Osaka
32.35%24.98%42.67%
Both teams to score 56.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32%68.68%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66%27.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21%62.79%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08%54.92%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 32.35%
    Cerezo Osaka 42.67%
    Draw 24.98%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.67%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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