Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.