Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.