Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.