Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.