Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.