Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.