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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 10, 2021 at 10am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
Vegalta Sendai

Yamashita (5'), Dudu (25'), Koyamatsu (39'), Higuchi (56'), Sakai (90+4')
Nakano (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Vegalta Sendai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawVegalta Sendai
42.75%27.18%30.07%
Both teams to score 48.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74%56.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7%77.3%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92%61.08%
Vegalta Sendai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1%33.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43%70.57%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 42.74%
    Vegalta Sendai 30.07%
    Draw 27.17%
Sagan TosuDrawVegalta Sendai
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.07%

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