Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokushima Vortis win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.