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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 3, 2021 at 7am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Asano (35')
Rhayner (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
31.79%28.36%39.85%
Both teams to score 46.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.99%60.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.76%80.24%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66%71.33%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6%65.4%
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 31.79%
    Nagoya Grampus 39.84%
    Draw 28.34%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 12.45%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 39.84%

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