Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.