Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokushima Vortis win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tokushima Vortis in this match.