Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.