Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.
