Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
