Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.