Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.