SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 46.22% | 26.44% | 27.33% |
| Both teams to score 49.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% | 54.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% | 76.06% |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% | 23.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.26% | 57.74% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% | 35.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.03% | 71.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.33% |
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