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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Aug 1, 2020 at 11am UK
Oita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
1 - 4
Kashima Antlers

Takazawa (6')
Shimakawa (27')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stum (15', 40' pen., 55'), Ito (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawKashima Antlers
26.71%27.97%45.31%
Both teams to score 44.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.48%60.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37%80.62%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.11%38.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38%75.61%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.93%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 26.71%
    Kashima Antlers 45.31%
    Draw 27.96%
Oita TrinitaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-3 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.32%
1-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 45.31%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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