Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.