SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 50.23% | 25.21% | 24.56% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% | 51.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% | 20.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.22% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.56% |
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