Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.