Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.