Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.