Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.