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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Sep 5, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Yurtec Stadium Sendai
GO

Vegalta Sendai
1 - 4
Gamba Osaka

Guedes (4')
Mate (87'), Nishimura (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Yamamoto (8'), Ademilson (15'), Kurata (73'), Ideguchi (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vegalta Sendai and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Vegalta SendaiDrawGamba Osaka
30.2%25.1%44.7%
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18%47.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30%70%
Vegalta Sendai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54%65.46%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59%21.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6%54.4%
Score Analysis
    Vegalta Sendai 30.2%
    Gamba Osaka 44.7%
    Draw 25.1%
Vegalta SendaiDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-1 @ 7.26%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 4.71%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.7%


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