SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 38.86% | 24.94% | 36.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% | 45.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% | 67.77% |
| Vissel Kobe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% | 23.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.92% | 57.08% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% | 24.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.89% | 59.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.19% |
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