Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.