Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.