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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2020 at 9am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Kanazaki (42' pen., 56' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yamaguchi (15')
Osaki (41'), Nishi (64'), Samper (68'), Maekawa (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
39.09%25.86%35.05%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32%71.67%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.61%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33%62.67%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 39.09%
    Vissel Kobe 35.05%
    Draw 25.85%
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.05%


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