Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.