Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.