Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.