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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Jul 12, 2020 at 10am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
GO

Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Gamba Osaka

Tatsuta (84')
Tatsuta (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Onose (40'), Watanabe (89')
Miura (32')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawGamba Osaka
34%24.81%41.19%
Both teams to score 57.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.67%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8%55.2%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 34%
    Gamba Osaka 41.19%
    Draw 24.81%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawGamba Osaka
2-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.19%


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