Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 84.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Quick Boys had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 4-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Quick Boys win it was 1-2 (1.77%).