Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
80.65% (![]() | 12.99% (![]() | 6.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.12% (![]() | 35.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% (![]() | 57.97% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.11% (![]() | 6.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.68% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.63% (![]() | 53.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.12% (![]() | 86.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
2-0 @ 13.15% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.73% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 80.64% | 1-1 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 12.99% | 0-1 @ 2.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 6.37% |
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