SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
80.65% ( -0.16) | 12.99% ( 0.13) | 6.37% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.57) | 35.88% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.63) | 57.97% ( 0.64) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.11% ( -0.15) | 6.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.68% ( -0.41) | 25.33% ( 0.41) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.63% ( -0.34) | 53.37% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.12% ( -0.22) | 86.88% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 80.64% | 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 12.99% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 6.37% |
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