Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 37.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.42%).