Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
42.33% ( -0.4) | 22.53% ( -0.08) | 35.14% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 66.78% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.18% ( 0.52) | 33.82% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.34% ( 0.59) | 55.66% ( -0.59) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( 0.05) | 16.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.09) | 46.56% ( -0.1) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( 0.48) | 19.84% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.06% ( 0.77) | 51.94% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.14% |
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