SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
64.32% ( 0.26) | 19.43% ( -0.03) | 16.25% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.31) | 37.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.33) | 60.08% ( 0.33) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( -0.02) | 11.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.47% ( -0.05) | 35.53% ( 0.05) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% ( -0.47) | 36.4% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% ( -0.48) | 73.18% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.4% Total : 64.32% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.25% |
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