There is not so much separating the teams ahead of this one, and a close contest is on the cards here. That said, we are leaning towards a home victory, albeit by only a narrow margin, when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	NAC Breda
62.19% ( -0.02)	20.33% ( 0.01)	17.48% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24% (

-0.01)

39.76% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

-0.01)

62.11% (

0.01)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.73% (

-0.01)

12.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62% (

-0.02)

38% (

0.02)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

36.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

72.91% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 62.19%

NAC Breda 17.48%

Draw 20.33%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.19%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.48%