SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
57.47% ( -0.1) | 21.94% ( 0.02) | 20.59% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( -0.01) | 42.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.01) | 64.7% ( 0.01) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.03) | 14.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.53% ( -0.07) | 42.47% ( 0.07) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.07) | 34.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.08) | 71.04% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 20.59% |
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