SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 24.48% | 22.5% | 53.02% |
| Both teams to score 59.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% | 40.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% | 62.62% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% | 29.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% | 15.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.48% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-1 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.85% Total : 53.02% |
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