Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Levante had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.