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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
AL

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Alaves

Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
49.59%28.21%22.2%
Both teams to score 40.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94%64.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78%83.22%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7%61.3%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92%81.08%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 49.58%
    Alaves 22.2%
    Draw 28.2%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.85%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.77%
4-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 11.84%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.2%

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