Champions League | Round of 16

Mar 11, 2020 at 8pm UK

Liverpool
2-3
Atletico Atletico Madrid

Wijnaldum (43'), Firmino (94')

FT
(aet)

Llorente (97', 105+1'), Morata (120+1')

Council to study impact of Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid on coronavirus spread

Liverpool public health director: 'Atletico match should not have gone ahead'

Kieran Trippier hits back at Klopp criticism of Atletico style

Liverpool's Champions League exit to cost them over £30m?

Kieran Tripper heaps praise on Jan Oblak

Joao Felix: 'Anfield atmosphere was incredible'

Virgil van Dijk insists Liverpool will not dwell on Champions League exit

Klopp insists Liverpool will bounce back after Champions League exit

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for had a probability of 8.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.59%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a win it was 0-1 (5.25%).

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Atletico Madrid
68.1%	23.41%	8.48%

Both teams to score 25.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.32%

67.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.28%

85.72%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89%

52.11%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.13%

67.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.83%

94.17%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 68.1%

Atletico Madrid 8.48%

Draw 23.41%

Liverpool	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 21.82% 2-0 @ 17.59% 3-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.82% 4-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.24% Total : 68.1%	0-0 @ 13.53% 1-1 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 5.25% 1-2 @ 1.64% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 8.48%