Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.