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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
San Mames
CV

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Celta Vigo


Nunez (26'), Vesga (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mallo (61'), Aspas (78')
Murillo (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
45.21%28.77%26.01%
Both teams to score 42.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.56%63.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.21%82.78%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.79%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84%41.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31%77.69%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 45.21%
    Celta Vigo 26.01%
    Draw 28.76%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.68%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.01%

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