Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
