Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
