Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huesca in this match.