Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
