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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 22, 2020 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
AM

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
33.45%26.53%40.02%
Both teams to score 52.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24%52.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61%74.39%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24%29.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17%65.82%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11%25.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13%60.87%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 33.45%
    Atletico Madrid 40.02%
    Draw 26.52%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.45%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.02%

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