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CL
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
AM

Cadiz
1 - 4
Atletico

Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Given Cadiz's struggles this term, we back the defending champions to pick up a relatively routine victory on Sunday. Atleti have been far from convincing this season, and they often leave it late to win games, but we ultimately see them getting over the line against Los Piratas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
15.86%22.85%61.29%
Both teams to score 44.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.79%46.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12%81.88%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98%47.02%
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 15.86%
    Atletico Madrid 61.28%
    Draw 22.85%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 4.14%
2-0 @ 2.33%
3-1 @ 1.07%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 15.86%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 13.89%
0-2 @ 12.33%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-4 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-5 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.28%

Read more!
Read more!


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