SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 47.2% | 27.55% | 25.24% |
| Both teams to score 44.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% | 59.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% | 80.2% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% | 60.32% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.13% | 39.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.47% | 76.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.24% |
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