Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.37%) and 0-3 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
