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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 1, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Martinez Valero
AM

Elche
0 - 1
Atletico


Milla (69'), Boye (75'), Barragan (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (23')
Lemar (36'), Carrasco (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
16.38%23.35%60.26%
Both teams to score 44.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.77%54.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37%75.63%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.86%46.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.17%81.83%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31%17.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67%48.32%
Score Analysis
    Elche 16.38%
    Atletico Madrid 60.25%
    Draw 23.35%
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.31%
2-1 @ 4.23%
2-0 @ 2.44%
3-1 @ 1.09%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 16.38%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 14.13%
0-2 @ 12.24%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-3 @ 7.07%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-4 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-5 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 60.25%

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