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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
AL

Atletico
1 - 0
Alaves

Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
70.45%19.15%10.4%
Both teams to score 40.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98%13.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.44%39.56%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.81%53.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.23%86.77%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 70.44%
    Alaves 10.4%
    Draw 19.15%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 14.39%
1-0 @ 14.11%
3-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 6.18%
4-0 @ 4.99%
4-1 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 70.44%
1-1 @ 8.91%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.15%
0-1 @ 4.37%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 10.4%

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